Poster: ACCESS-MICAS: a forecast-based tool for event attribution

Title

ACCESS-MICAS: a forecast-based tool for event attribution

About

The Australian Community Climate and Earth-System Simulator – Modified Initial Condition Attribution System, ACCESS-MICAS, is a forecast-based tool for extreme event attribution. Using the Bureau of Meteorology’s operational global coupled sub-seasonal to seasonal forecast version of ACCESS, ACCESS-S2 with modified initial conditions, we can re-forecast an event with counterfactual conditions and assess various contributors to the extremity of the event, including climate change. In this presentation we demonstrate how ACCESS-MICAS has been applied to Black Summer heatwave event and we invite collaborators to contact us if they are interested in analysing experiments using the system.

Poster

poster.pdf (2.2 MB)

Note: this topic is part of the 2023 ACCESS Community Workshop Poster session

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